Historical FiveThirtyEight Senate Forecasts

This folder contains the data behind the story How The FiveThirtyEight Senate Forecast Model Works.

Header	Definition
state	Election
year	Year of election
candidate	Last name
forecast_prob	Probability of winning election per FiveThirtyEight Election Day forecast
result	Win or Loss

For archived results, see:

• 2008 https://web.archive.org/web/20081106113055/http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/
• 2010 http://elections.nytimes.com/2010/forecasts/senate
• 2012 http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/fivethirtyeights-2012-forecast/