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fx-pair-strategy

Background

A popular class of strategies in the foreign exchange (FX) markets involves time-series momentum. It is based on buying the currency pair that shows recent positive returns and selling those that demonstrate recent negative returns.

Data

Cambridge Square Capital LP (Boston) provided a pickled dataframe of USDJPY (Japanese yen) and USDMXN (Mexican peso) exchange rates.

Recommendation

A memo to Cambridge Square Capital recommends a simple (5, 20) moving average rule assuming active management of the pairs on a monthly basis. The supporting analysis is included in the Jupyter notebook.

All analysis was completed in Python 2.7 using Pandas. To run, create a conda environment and install the requirements:

conda install -c synthicity prettytable

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A simple currency pair strategy on JPY and MXN

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