This is a continually updating repository with the latest results of the INSIDER poll conducted on SurveyMonkey Audience in order to fuel our conditional preference forecast.
Basically, we ask lots of Americans a few basic things on SurveyMonkey Audience.
- We ask them if they're registered to vote.
- We ask them if they think they'll probably participate in their state's presidential primary/caucus and if so, which one.
- We ask them, from a list of Democratic primary contenders, which they are familiar with.
- Once we know that, we ask them which of those contenders they would be satisfied with as nominee. Then we ask which they'd be unsatisfied with. For our purposes, we're only really interested in the answers to these questions from registered voters who say they'll probably vote in the Democratic primary, but everyone's asked it either way.
- Sometimes, we ask everyone which of those candidates they think would probably beat President Trump in a general election, and which of those candidates they think would probably lose to the president. We're interested in everyone's answer here.
We run this question package periodically. The CSV files above contain the responses to those pieces. Here's additional descriptive statistics for each package. Candidates were dropped off as they exited the race.
01.csv: 1109 respondents, 12/21/18 - 12/22/18, +/- 3.12%, 378 reg. Dems
02.csv: 1233 respondents, 01/26/19 - 01/27/19, +/- 2.95%, 421 reg. Dems
03.csv: 1093 respondents, 02/01/19 - 02/03/19, +/- 3.09%, 443 reg. Dems
04.csv: 1117 respondents, 02/15/19 - 02/16/19, +/- 3.07%, 398 reg. Dems
05.csv: 1055 respondents, 02/24/19 - 02/26/19, +/- 3.14%, 385 reg. Dems
06.csv: 1102 respondents, 03/01/19 - 03/02/19, +/- 3.10%, 397 reg. Dems
07.csv: 1086 respondents, 03/22/19 - 03/23/19, +/- 3.13%, 428 reg. Dems
08.csv: 1103 respondents, 04/05/19 - 04/06/19, +/- 3.10%, 374 reg. Dems
09.csv: 1110 respondents, 04/18/19 - 04/18/19, +/- 3.15%, 462 reg. Dems
10.csv: 1144 respondents, 04/26/19 - 04/27/19, +/- 3.07%, 433 reg. Dems
11.csv: 1127 respondents, 05/10/19 - 05/11/19, +/- 3.12%, 432 reg. Dems
12.csv: 1168 respondents, 05/17/19 - 05/18/19, +/- 3.08%, 485 reg. Dems
13.csv: 1107 respondents, 05/31/19 - 06/02/19, +/- 3.10%, 466 reg. Dems
14.csv: 1126 respondents, 06/07/19 - 06/08/19, +/- 3.07%, 420 reg. Dems
15.csv: 1191 respondents, 06/21/19 - 06/22/19, +/- 3.02%, 427 reg. Dems
16.csv: 1172 respondents, 06/28/19 - 06/29/19, +/- 3.02%, 448 reg. Dems
17.csv: 1105 respondents, 07/09/19 - 07/10/19, +/- 3.15%, 396 reg. Dems
18.csv: 1184 respondents, 07/19/19 - 07/20/19, +/- 3.01%, 502 reg. Dems
19.csv: 1111 respondents, 08/01/19 - 08/01/19, +/- 3.01%, 431 reg. Dems
20.csv: 1114 respondents, 08/11/19 - 08/11/19, +/- 3.01%, 439 reg. Dems
21.csv: 1092 respondents, 08/16/19 - 08/17/19, +/- 3.06%, 451 reg. Dems
22.csv: 1165 respondents, 08/30/19 - 08/31/19, +/- 3.01%, 474 reg. Dems
23.csv: 1090 respondents, 09/06/19 - 09/07/19, +/- 3.07%, 421 reg. Dems
24.csv: 1117 respondents, 09/17/19 - 09/18/19, +/- 2.98%, 437 reg. Dems
25.csv: 1096 respondents, 09/25/19 - 09/26/19, +/- 3.04%, 428 reg. Dems
26.csv: 1083 respondents, 10/03/19 - 10/04/19, +/- 3.06%, 416 reg. Dems
27.csv: 1095 respondents, 10/16/19 - 10/17/19, +/- 3.04%, 448 reg. Dems
28.csv: 1075 respondents, 10/25/19 - 10/26/19, +/- 3.09%, 455 reg. Dems
29.csv: 1085 respondents, 11/01/19 - 11/02/19, +/- 3.09%, 407 reg. Dems
30.csv: 1113 respondents, 11/12/19 - 11/12/19, +/- 3.05%, 422 reg. Dems
31.csv: 1017 respondents, 11/22/19 - 11/23/19, +/- 3.16%, 405 reg. Dems
32.csv: 1034 respondents, 12/06/19 - 12/07/19, +/- 3.12%, 413 reg. Dems
33.csv: 1071 respondents, 12/13/19 - 12/14/19, +/- 3.09%, 438 reg. Dems
34.csv: 1035 respondents, 12/27/19 - 12/28/19, +/- 3.13%, 411 reg. Dems
35.csv: 1093 respondents, 01/10/20 - 01/11/20, +/- 3%, 467 reg. Dems
36.csv: 1083 respondents, 01/22/20 - 01/22/20, +/- 3%, 426 reg. Dems
37.csv: 1078 respondents, 01/29/20 - 01/30/20, +/- 3%, 413 reg. Dems
38.csv: 1013 respondents, 02/08/20 - 02/09/20, +/- 3%, 414 reg. Dems
39.csv: 1125 respondents, 02/18/20 - 02/18/20, +/- 3%, 443 reg. Dems
40.csv: 1051 respondents, 02/27/20 - 02/27/20, +/- 3%, 409 reg. Dems
40.csv: 1062 respondents, 03/06/20 - 03/07/20, +/- 3%, 470 reg. Dems